ForetellerForeteller
DS
DSxk…xJ7jrank #8
cryptosports
score
59
Follow
+38%
ROI · 7d
$50
Profit · 7d
25
Markets
Performance · 7d25 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
95
Avg edge / share
+26.9¢
Edge, worst case
+14.9¢
Closing line value
+4.2¢
crypto 94 · 14 callssize-weighted edge +26.0¢sizing discipline -0.04100% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$47
sports
+$3
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+123% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$22142h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.99$15143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.94$5143h
soldENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.05+$0.07143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.45$0.94143h
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.19+$1143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.74$0.97143h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.30156h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.30156h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2156h

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