# Foreteller Academy: the staged path to funded forecasting

Three levels, 13 lessons. Source: https://foreteller.world/learn

## Level 1: Basics

From zero to your first call, no jargon assumed.

- What a prediction market is — Shares that pay $1 if you are right. Prices that are probabilities. (https://foreteller.world/learn/what-is-a-prediction-market, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/what-is-a-prediction-market)
- How World works on Solana — CASH, YES/NO shares, and settlement you can verify on-chain. (https://foreteller.world/learn/how-world-works, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/how-world-works)
- Reading prices like probabilities — The one mental move that separates traders from gamblers. (https://foreteller.world/learn/reading-odds, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/reading-odds)
- Your first calls in the Playground — Ten practice trades, zero risk, and a skill record that starts today. (https://foreteller.world/learn/your-first-calls, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/your-first-calls)

## Level 2: Fundamentals

The math and microstructure that decide who wins over 100 calls.

- The calibration curve: what World prices actually mean — Closing prices are nearly perfect. Mid-life prices are not. That gap is the whole game. (https://foreteller.world/learn/calibration-curve, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/calibration-curve)
- Closing line value: the skill metric that cannot be faked for long — PnL says what happened. CLV says whether you were right to do it. (https://foreteller.world/learn/closing-line-value, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/closing-line-value)
- Know the dealer: how Janus prices your trade — Zero vig, sticky quotes, keeper repricing. The microstructure in plain language. (https://foreteller.world/learn/the-dealer, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/the-dealer)
- Bankroll management for binary markets — A real 60% edge still loses four times in ten. Survive long enough to be right. (https://foreteller.world/learn/bankroll-for-binaries, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/bankroll-for-binaries)

## Level 3: Practical

Measured edges, honest sizing, and the road to funded capital.

- Fading the 60-72c band — The most overpriced prices on the venue, measured, not vibes. (https://foreteller.world/learn/overpriced-favorites, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/overpriced-favorites)
- Tail value: the 3-8c longshots — World tails have paid 2-3x their implied probability. Small stakes, huge asymmetry. (https://foreteller.world/learn/tail-value, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/tail-value)
- Sizing, capacity, and why edge dies above $5k — The venue pays skill in limited size. Respect the ceiling or feed the dealer. (https://foreteller.world/learn/sizing-and-capacity, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/sizing-and-capacity)
- Luck vs skill: what the fscore actually measures — One trader made $50k on one bet. Another made $30k over 1,000 trades. Fund the second. (https://foreteller.world/learn/luck-vs-skill, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/luck-vs-skill)
- Capstone: the Proving Ground — Turn what you learned into a record that qualifies for funding. (https://foreteller.world/learn/the-proving-ground, markdown: https://foreteller.world/md/the-proving-ground)